Although in recent years, Japanese manufacturers trying to reduce dependence on Chinese rare earths, but "Japanese Economic News" reported that Japan's dependence on Chinese rare earth rise, not fall.

January 2013 to April 2013, Japan's rare earth imports increased by 19% compared with the same period last year, reaching 4,300 tons. Among them, the domestic rare earth 63% over the previous year increased 11 percent. In addition to China, imports a large amount of rare earth production in France and Vietnam, but these are rare in fact mostly from China's rare earth processing products, so in fact made ​​in China, Japan, rare earth accounted for 80% of total imports.

According to statistics, neodymium (used in magnets) of Chinese export price at the end of about $ 77 per kg. And dysprosium (used to keep magnetic) is about $ 575 per kilogram, compared with April fell by 4%, compared with July 2011's highs above 80%. Currently, neodymium prices have hit two years and eight month low, while the price of dysprosium also hit two years and three month low.


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July 3: The current rare earth downstream receiving goods will for the time being insufficient, the manufacturers offer mixed views on the outlook due to confusion, rare earth prices continue upward or still to be seen.

Tax price of lanthanum oxide mainstream manufacturers 26,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Cerium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 27,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 380,000-390,000 yuan / ton.

Neodymium oxide 250,000-260,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 280,000-290,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium Neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 350,000-370,000 yuan / ton.

Europium oxide phosphor grade mainstream manufacturers tax price 3,700-3,900 yuan / kg.

Fluorescent terbium oxide level tax price of mainstream manufacturers 2,800-3,000 yuan / kg.

Dysprosium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 140-150 yuan / ton.

Dysprosium iron mainstream manufacturers tax price 145-150 yuan / ton.


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July 3, CAS length (Finance Court) Chun Institute of Applied Chemistry Co., Ltd. and Chengdu Sichuan Sony source collaborative R & D "light Yuhui Shou life controllable LED light rare earth materials research and development and in the semiconductor lighting application" results, organized by the Chinese Academy of Sciences recently the results of identification. The Group believes that the original rare earth luminescent materials effective solution has not been possible to break the international exchange of LED lighting strobe issues, and realized from basic research to industry by leaps and bounds, has reached the international advanced level, making China the world the only mastered through the production of rare earth phosphors AC low strobe LED products in the country.

It is understood that the existing LED light source using DC as a driver, at work must be approved by the AC and DC power conversion, energy consumption, heat tolerance, high cost, so developers can directly use the AC drive new LED lighting products are for the benefit of the people to promote the development of LED lighting industry significant demand. In addition, at present, the products have passed China's relevant certification, and Underwriters Laboratories (UL), the U.S. Federal Communications Commission (FCC), the European unification (CE) and EU environmental (RoHS) certification, sold in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Spain, Brazil and other countries, and has achieved remarkable economic benefits.


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Foreign media said that China has just announced by the world closely watched the second half of 2013 export quotas for rare earth minerals, so the total rare earth export quota for the year reached 31,001 tons.

It is reported that China produces over 95% of the world's rare earths. Rare is the manufacture of low-emission vehicles from the iPad to many electronic components 17 kinds of important chemical elements.

According to official July 1 statement released, the Ministry of Commerce said that China will allow the June 2013 to mid-December, exports 15,500 tons of rare earth.

China in the first half of 2013 was 15,501 tons of rare earth export quotas.

Reported that China has developed the production of rare earth export quotas and limit, a move that upset some of our trading partners. China said the move aims to protect resources and the environment, in order to promote sustainable development. But usually, the export quotas do not fully utilized.

Reported that, according to statistics, the global decline in demand for rare earth in the context of China in 2012 exported 16,265 tons of rare earth, only half of the quota year 30,966 tons more.

However, China's largest rare earth producer Baotou Steel Rare Earth on July 2, said government regulations because production reached the limit of their subordinates an ore processing plant will be shut down for six months.


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Rare, recent Ganzhou Rare Earth against illegal actions bear fruit, prompting the early varieties of rare earth prices continued to rebound bottomed (mainly praseodymium neodymium, dysprosium, terbium, etc.). We believe that the current price of rare earth bottom has been confirmed, but it has yet to fully rebound dividend policy stimulus.

Lithium carbonate prices remain at 4.1-4.3 million, the Tesla selling is expected to drive the rapid development of the electric car industry is expected to increase 250,000 electric cars worldwide will significantly boost prices of lithium carbonate, lithium ore resources stocks Tianqi Lithium Industries long-term bullish. Germanium prices firm, mainly due to increased demand for fiber-optic and infrared demand.

NdFeB this week, rising raw material prices H35 2.84% over the same period prices fell 1.42 percent, resulting in cost price fell to 1.15, return to normal levels. We believe that prices of raw materials such as rare earths comprehensive stabilized late recovery, the NdFeB products are expected to occur "volume and price," the chain restocking market. Ningbo Yunsheng follow the recent transfer market pool, the valuation advantage is more obvious.


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According to reports, the Ministry of unprecedented new round of efforts to rectify the earth, environmental protection, Customs, Ministry of Land Resources, Ministry of Commerce and other ministries will conduct several rounds of inventory. According to discuss the program, the Ministry will organize a large group of rare earth as the 2013 program priorities. Will focus on the existing business enterprise involving rare earth as the main assets as a link, established in accordance with market rules. And the state will crack down on black industry chain to bring the industry chaos, stability of rare earth industry price.

New round of rare earth industry consolidation brewing or will usher in a new order

Currently, the progress from the point of view, has been preliminarily identified formed by the Baotou Rare Earth, Rising colored, aluminum Group, Minmetals Ganzhou Rare Earth Group 5 leading enterprises led industry consolidation. For the formation of the Ministry ultimate goal of integrating the formation of rare earth enterprises nationwide is 2 to 3 large enterprises. By then, the state of the rare earth industry management efforts will be more sets, rare earth resource development, smelting separation market circulation, export quotas and other issues will also be effective in improving promote the healthy development of the whole industry.

Supply and demand of rare earth exports rose behind end dual stimulation

This year, although prices are still weak, but the country of rare earth trade rebounded track every month since February, exports have gradually rise. According to the National Customs this week to provide information, in April, the national capacity of 2,196 tons of rare earth exports, an increase of more than six times, compared with March exports increased by 28%. Using government data center consulting services of Customs statistics indicate that in the first four months, the national export volume of 6,112 tons of rare earth.

Investment Advisor in the metallurgical industry researcher Yuan Zhibin, said upstream suppliers to downstream demand to pick up inventory requirements dual stimulation, resulting in a quarter of China's rare earth exports increased significantly. But prices continued to slump circumstances, export growth to China's rare earth companies did not bring the same positive earnings.

2010 skyrocketing price of rare earth on the one hand to promote research and development of a large number of enterprises are turning to alternative technologies earth, on the other hand led traders to hoard goods firm behavior. August 2011 to allow traders continued to decline after the losses, but also strengthened its reluctance to sell will. In addition, the shrinking demand, sluggish exports indicators are mined each year is greater than the market demand, and because of cheap rare earth mining costs, mining companies are the most complete index full capacity even exceeded. In addition, periodic repeated illegal mining of rare earth digging of private market supply and demand imbalance led to increasingly serious, and because of production to export the entire supply chain, not a ticket, low cost of production would be justified to pipe out of the market of rare earth, rare earth stocks steadily climbing common cause .

Despite the large number of rare earth group purchasing and storage and other means to take control of the market supply, but the pre-corporate crazy stockpile and subsequent development of alternative technologies, resulting in rare earth prices are still drifting lower, up to now has been falling for about 20 months, is much larger than previously down cycle. With rare earth projects in other countries and gradually put into production, future global rare earth supply will be more relaxed, only two Australian Lynas U.S. Mountain Pass mine project will meet the current demand for rare earths in addition to abroad. Moreover, demand for rare earth series released in Japan found that the amount of rare earth day, earth cooperation with India to achieve substantive progress and Toyota rare earth extraction techniques applied to the field of electric vehicles in this series of messages, the Japanese earth depends on the country has declined.

Therefore, the slow pace of de-stocking, development of alternative technologies and foreign rare earth project competition context, rare earth prices will continue to decline. While being based on such expectations, leading to China's rare earth export enterprises will increase. Compared to the large Rare Earth Group, up cycle traders stockpile many more fragile financial chain, prices continued falling prices of the next 20 months, and its willingness to sell is strengthening. Inner past four months the composition of exports of rare earth view, private sector exports grew much larger than the magnitude of state-owned enterprises.

From the demand side perspective, Abe quantitative easing policy to stimulate economic madness, the yen depreciated. The demand for rare earths, on one hand early accumulation of rare earth materials have been exhausted, into the restocking phase; hand yen devaluation increased risk aversion also stimulate them to take other currencies alternative to rare earth element is undoubtedly related to the low Enterprises have a strong appeal.

In addition, the global economic recovery is expected, especially in the U.S. housing market to pick up, enhance the market expected the Fed to reduce the scale of QE, which boosted market confidence. This was originally the EU into a debt crisis is undoubtedly a major benefit to companies operating rate has increased, this year, the PMI index from the EU trend can be seen.

Therefore, while the supply side to the inventory based on national rare earth enterprises demand and export prices are expected to bring increased willingness; hand restocking demand side needs to improve capacity utilization, dual stimulation led to a quarter of China's rare earth exports rose.


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July 1 Ganzhou private mine rectification and the Ministry will further promote the rare earth industry consolidation allows manufacturers bullish doctrinal attitude, but demand has not significantly up the terminal, the rare earth market outlook mixed views.

Neodymium oxide 250,000-260,000 yuan / ton.

Dysprosium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 140-150 yuan / ton.

Tax price of lanthanum oxide mainstream manufacturers 26,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Cerium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 27,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 370,000-380,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 270,000-280,000 yuan / ton.

Dysprosium iron mainstream manufacturers tax price 145-150 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium Neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 350,000-370,000 yuan / ton.

Europium oxide phosphor grade mainstream manufacturers tax price 3,700-3,900 yuan / kg.

Fluorescent terbium oxide level tax price of mainstream manufacturers 2,800-3,000 yuan / kg.


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Some products of rare earth market price increases, the market appears more dysprosium oxide, gadolinium oxide, praseodymium procurement Inquirer.

It is understood that there is a business on the market today with a vote of yttria improved offer, the current mainstream with ticket prices 5.8-6 yuan / ton, previously willing to accept 55,000 yuan / ton merchant ship now raise its offer to 58,000 yuan / ton, the market price supply decreased slightly.

Dysprosium oxide market, today's market fare dysprosium oxide with 1.6 million yuan / ton, the market has some inquiries dysprosium oxide, traders purchase intentions clear. Meanwhile gadolinium oxide, praseodymium Inquirer buyers is greater, there are many traders expressed intent to purchase gadolinium supply less, offer little more difficult to find low-priced goods. Praseodymium oxide businesses still reluctant to sell, with the mainstream fare 410,000 yuan / ton.

Europium, terbium market, weekly market is relatively calm, quoted flat with last weekend, europium oxide with votes 400-410 yuan / ton or so, terbium oxide 3.3 million yuan / ton. Ganzhou supplier, said although they improved offer, but nearly a week and not traded.

Praseodymium neodymium market, there are metal manufacturers that has been nearly two weeks without doing praseodymium neodymium metal trading, No stock available out of the current bad external offer. Other traders also said that now the market uncertainty, the need to further wait. Oxide market, there are certain procurement requirements, the current market with a slight increase in ticket prices. Ganzhou praseodymium neodymium suppliers said they could accept the current 280,000 yuan with votes / ton of praseodymium, neodymium oxide, praseodymium neodymium their market last week with a fare of 27 yuan / ton. By the effects of changes in raw materials markets, magnetic manufacturers intentionally price adjustment, according to an industry in Ningbo magnetic enterprises, said it is difficult pricing magnetic prices, the recent slight increase in rough prices likely. According to the Guangdong region of magnetic manufacturers say they are magnetic outlook remains optimistic that in the present case of weak application needs substantial price increases difficult, but rare earth materials market the latter may continue to fall.

Magnetic scrap market, today's market is relatively stable, some businesses raise prices a dollar or so recovered, the current market price and the recovery of the weekend mainstream flat magnetic strips and tiles higher scrap prices have exceeded the recovery of 80,90 million / kg, recently there is still some upside. Waste Electrical and brushless motor scrap market appears 75.5 yuan / month recycling prices, but industry represents less receipt at this price, the mainstream recovery price at 75 yuan / month.


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2010 occurred in the days after the collision, China has in fact stopped rare earth exports to Japan, Japan's purchases increased risk. Japanese trading companies and manufacturers began magnets from rare earths outside of China procurement, but in 2011 after the companies continue to reduce the amount of rare earths used, appears to reduce domestic demand in Japan. The Chinese domestic excess capacity exists, so the total Japanese imports, accounting for the increase in the domestic rare earth.

2013 January-April, compared with Japan's rare earth imports increased by 19% over the same period last year, reaching 4,300 tons. Among them, the domestic rare earth 63% over the previous year increased 11 percent. In China, the import of a large amount of rare earth production in France and Vietnam, and these are mostly rare earth from China sourcing processed products, so many ideas that actually made in China, Japan, rare earth accounted for 80% of total imports.

The reason why the proportion of domestic rare earth rise, a company specializing in Japanese companies that trade in rare earth because "carry a large inventory of local producers of low sales." China is both a producer of rare earth demand for the country, due to the production exceeds demand, expanding exports.

Neodymium (for magnets) in Chinese export prices in five bottom around $ 77 per kg. And dysprosium (used to keep magnetic) is about $ 575 per kilogram. Respectively, compared with April fell by 4%, compared with July 2011's highs above 80%. Neodymium hit two years and eight month low, while the dysprosium hit two years and three month low.

Through initiatives such as the adoption of alternatives, Japan's domestic demand for rare earths stagnation phenomenon is very prominent. According to the Japan New Metals Association statistics show that in 2012 demand for rare earths in Japan was 1.45 million tons, 31% less than the previous year. Abrasives such as cerium, the demand to reduce the usage. The appliance also continue to use the motor without using rare earth magnet products.

Currently, there are also views that the demand for rare earths has recovered. For example neodymium magnets, magnet alloy manufacturer Showa Denko called "Japanese manufacturers are increasing purchases." January to April, compared with the previous year, imports grew 19%, but compared to a peak of 2008, still down by 65%.

In mid-June has been reported that Toyota Tsusho in India will start in autumn 2013 rare trial production. In this regard, Japan Rare user said: "Even though India is currently producing rare earth out and useless."

India is emerging rare earths producer. Toyota Tsusho will supply the raw materials of the Indian government-owned enterprises, the Indian Rare Earth (Indian Rare Earths Ltd) cooperation. The original plan in 2013 to an earlier time to start trial production, but because of negotiated procurement of raw materials prices have failed, expected production time will be postponed to November 2013.

In addition, the U.S. molybdenum mining company (Molycorp Inc.) Are in fact lowered the production plan. The original plan in 2013 will have annual production capacity to 40,000 tons, but the company Japanese corporation, said: "Order has not increased, it can not increase production equipment."

World demand for rare earths is still growing, many Japanese view that "the necessity to increase the sources of procurement has not changed." According to industry speculated that 2013 demand will be approximately 100,007 tonnes, an increase of 7% over 12 years.

To promote rare metals and rare earth mineral resources development, the Japanese Ministry of Economy in 2013 accrued annual budget of 88 billion yen, but in China, the supply is expected in 2013 will exceed demand. A rare earth trading company in Japan, said: "If the sources of procurement to further increase, it will only lead to oversupply."


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In early June, the rare earth market is relatively stable, several heavy rare earth product prices began to climb in mid-June, some of the heavy rare earth prices began to appear signs of recovery, after nearly a month's time, dysprosium, terbium, europium and other heavy The prices of rare earth products seen a sharp decline.

In mid-May, dysprosium market mainstream in 1500 yuan to 1550 yuan / kg, the current mainstream market quotations dysprosium oxide at 1350 yuan to 1400 yuan / kg, the actual price at 1,350 yuan / kg or so, compared to mid-April, oxidation Dysprosium prices fell by about 10%, while the lowest point in early June when compared to the mainstream offer 14% has been floating around, but not much market transactions, the downstream demand is still lackluster, prices rose mainly hype factor greater .

Currently, europium oxide market mainstream in 3600 yuan ~ 3,700 yuan / kg, and the lowest point in early June when compared to an increase of 8.8%. Terbium oxide mainstream market by the beginning of 2200 yuan to the lowest 2,400 yuan / kg rose to 2600 yuan to 2700 yuan / kg, the increase was 12.5 percent.

Yttria mainstream market by the beginning of 5.5 yuan to 60,000 yuan / ton down to $ 50,000 ~ 55,000 yuan / ton, a decrease of 9%, prices have been no signs of recovery.

Since June, rare earth prices did not change, but the rare earth market after the Dragon Boat Festival, there was a certain turning point, after a period of adjustment, terbium, dysprosium, europium and other types of heavy rare earth products, price stabilization, and gradually stabilized recovery.

Nearly a month, part of the heavy rare earth product prices have been major changes, first fell sharply in late May, and then in late June and gradually began to rise, mainly because of its continuing decline in the price of rare earth minerals mining companies do not want low-cost shipping, separation is difficult for enterprises to purchase raw materials, while the impact of falling prices by oxides, separation upside down business costs, many companies have discontinued, reduced market supply, the industry has bottomed out a lot of people expected , so start procurement, and the opportunity to hype, so some products prices rise trend.

Compared to the heavy rare earth prices fell sharply, light rare earth product prices, although it also fell, but the decline is relatively small, basically show a slow downward trend.

Praseodymium neodymium oxide by the middle of May to 27.5 yuan to 285,000 yuan / ton, down to early June 255,000 yuan to 26 yuan / ton, and then there have been some rebound, at present, praseodymium neodymium quoted in the mainstream 27 yuan to 275,000 yuan / ton, praseodymium neodymium metal from 360,000 yuan to 37 yuan / ton down to the lowest point of 320,000 yuan to 33 yuan / ton, and then rebounded to 34 yuan to 350,000 yuan / tons.

Lanthanum Cerium product prices have been falling, and no rebound along with other products, yellow oxide, cerium mainstream market at 2.8 yuan to 30,000 yuan / ton, compared with mid-May offer 32,000 yuan to 3.5 yuan / ton fell by 12.5 percent. 99.9% purity lanthanum oxide from 3.3 yuan to 36,000 yuan / ton down to $ 30,000 ~ 32,000 yuan / ton, down about 10%.

Since May, the price of rare earth minerals also seen a sharp decline in the standard of yttrium europium-rich ore tax mainstream in 145,000 yuan to 16.5 yuan / ton, down compared to the previous 20,000 yuan per ton, mixed rare earth carbonate from 2.7 yuan to 29,000 yuan / ton, down from 02,000 to 25,000 yuan to 2.7 yuan / ton.

As rare earth prices continued to fall, there have been regular large-scale separation plant cost upside down, so a few large enterprises have stopped quotes, observing changes in the market. Some market participants expect the decline in value of the heavy rare earth products has come to an end, are not likely to continue to decline, while the lanthanum cerium and other light rare earth products prices may open a new round of devaluation trip. There are many businesses on the market down the offer, especially some brokers to keep the price lower than the quoted market price of the mainstream, but the real deal Shique difficult.

Exports of rare earths from China Customs statistics show that in April China exported 2,137 tons of rare earth products, the export amount of $ 43,970,000, the export price of 20.6 U.S. dollars / kg. Export volume, export value, export price in April 2012, respectively, year on year increase of 534.4%, -53.7% and -92.7%, an increase of 31.2% qoq, respectively, 30.6% and -0.4%. The total amount of rare earth products imported from China in the top four yuan countries are the United States, Japan, France, Italy.

January to April, China's rare earth exports accumulated approximately 5,888.4 tons, the export total amount of about 132 million U.S. dollars, the average export price of 22.5 U.S. dollars / kg, respectively, compared with the same period last year increased by 82.1%, -81.8% and -90% .

April 2013, total exports of rare earth permanent magnets 1641 tons, exports amounted to 120 million U.S. dollars, the average export price of 73.1 U.S. dollars / kg, respectively, year on year increase of 11.6% -33.3% and -32.8%, respectively, an increase of 15.1% qoq, 9.6% and -4.8%.

1 to 4 months, total exports of rare earth permanent magnet 4354.1 tons, the export amount of about 349 million yuan, the average export price of 80.1 U.S. dollars / kg, respectively, compared with last year an increase of -13.6%, -46.3% and -37.8%.

Rare earth market began to appear after the Dragon Boat Festival has been a slight change in dysprosium offer began to rise, but the real deal does not see the increase, the reason is mainly downstream demand has not increased, the prices rose mainly on the market price is expected to dysprosium already in the end, many middlemen result of speculation, but there are also market participants worry that, after the hype, the dysprosium oxide prices will fall again.

For the rare earth market outlook, market insiders have different views, it was expected that the price of rare earth products has basically bottomed out, prices continue to fall is unlikely. But most people are still relatively cautious, that the market has not bottomed out, the price of rare earth products are still down space, although the separation plant began to downstream applications basically in all aspects of the state upside down, but there is still some aspects of the mining profit margins, while private mining through the relevant departments to crack down after despite the convergence, but still constantly flooded the market, so many people think the market is still not bottomed earth, rare earth market stability for the presence of uncertainty.

Although the field of NdFeB permanent magnet materials generally said to start this year better than last year, but due to downstream applications market has not fully recovered, there is still a lot of demand is not fully released, so the demand for rare earth products are needed, as the increase in downstream applications may be, if the world economy recovers, the amount of rare earth new materials rebound, it will stimulate the demand for rare earth products, thus boosting prices stabilized stabilized rare earth products.

Recent relevant state departments in Ganzhou launched on private mining excessive digging and use of illicit ore source of verification work, affected terbium, dysprosium, europium and other products offer a substantial increase, praseodymium, neodymium praseodymium neodymium metal products prices have rebounded slightly the market more inquiry, but mostly traders mainly downstream applications needs and there is no actual increase in the absence of actual demand for the support of the price increases must be castles in the air, will not last long, so in the short term of several price of the product due to a variety of good news to stimulate the emergence of a rebound, but in the long run, of rare earth products is still excess capacity, the oversupply situation has not changed, because the good news by short-term stimulation and raise the price of rare earth speculation, does not stabilize, when the rare earth market bottoming out of the woods yet to be seen.


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