Rare earth prices rebound or continuation but the strength is still observed

Recent rare earth prices rebounded, mainly due to production cuts and the fight against the illicit production and protect the price for. We believe that the current round of rare-earth prices rebound or will continue for some time, but not with the 2011 increase that round skyrocketing compared.

Recent rare earth prices rise bottom. Where: light rare earth (including: lanthanum, cerium, praseodymium, neodymium, promethium, samarium, europium, gadolinium) rebounded by 5% -10%; heavy rare earth (including: terbium, dysprosium, 鈥, erbium, thulium, ytterbium, lutetium , scandium, yttrium) rebounded by 20% -30%. In terms of geographical distribution, the light rare earths are concentrated in the north and the heavy rare earth concentrated in the south.

Rare earth prices rebound this round main reasons: 1) since late June, Jiangxi Ganzhou campaign against "black earth" special action; 2) there is news that the Ministry of brewing promote RE downstream applications market policies, while the United multiministerial increase the comprehensive governance "black earth" efforts; 3) leading the Baotou Rare Earth rare Northern announced starting from July 1 cut half of its rare earths processing plant.

We believe that the current round of price increases or rare earths will continue for some time, but not with the 2011 increase that round skyrocketing compared. The main reason is: The current demand for downstream demand remained weak, especially magnetic materials, market expectations of future downstream demand is also very cautious, so cut down on illegal production and protect the price of price support efforts will be weakened. While in 2011 the entire earth relatively stable market supply and demand, policy stimulus has greatly improved and the market is expected to push up the market price.
 
A) a clear cut half a means to protect the price, but also reflects the demand is expected for the second half of the earth is poor; 2) Stop are active practices have been available raw materials inventory it will not affect the production plan; 3) speculate on the possible and promote the Northern restructuring related to: December 27 this year, "rare earth upstream business integration and restructuring framework agreement" will expire, if not before signing a formal agreement, restructuring fails. Select Mineral discontinued six months can effectively reduce the amount of concentrate supply, its effect is similar to water and electricity, is conducive to the smooth progress of restructuring.


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