Tungsten City bearish sentiment strong, holding cargo shipments will increase, but the buyer funding constraints, strongly suppress the price, turnover is relatively stalemate, the spot market tentative inquiry, offer more, but still less the actual transaction, expected short-term price of tungsten or slipped.

Macro, March import and export trade steady double down many ministries, exerted pressure to complete the annual target; the price of gold fell below $ 1,200 / oz psychologically important level; IMF said the world's major economies will enter a period of low growth.


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2014 occurred worldwide, "continuing the war," more than 10 plays, more than any other year since the new century, the great power game increasingly intense, frequent regional war, the world situation is more volatile. From Eastern Europe for a year has not stopped the war in eastern Ukraine, the Middle East intensified armed extremist "Islamic State" has been captured near the Syrian capital of Damascus, and then recently, Saudi Arabia and other countries combined air forces of the Yemeni armed Jose expand codenamed " decisive storm "of air strikes. Looking to 2015, the international community is faced with complexity, variability and uncertainty are still outstanding, the world situation has intensified the trend, local wars will enter a period of more, and the war continued to grow significantly.

In the world of local wars frequent background, a large number of military status for strategic metals manufacturing industry tungsten, antimony and other small metal germanium further highlighted. Germanium, tungsten, antimony and other strategic metals because of their special properties and excellent performance, is the basis of modern defense irreplaceable material and strategic resources for national defense construction has a crucial role.

Germanium is also a modern military applications indispensable strategic resource, its main infrared optics. Under the conditions of modern warfare, infrared camera has been on individual combat systems, tanks, satellites, missiles, aircraft and other military weapons and a wide range of applications, enabling reconnaissance, surveillance, positioning, precision-guided, precision strike capabilities. In 2011, the infrared optical germanium demand in the military occupied compare up to 88%. America is back in 1984 as a defense germanium will reserve resources, currently the US Defense Logistics Agency stocks strategic material remains at more than 16 tons. In the Gulf War, the United States, for example, the US per capita with 1.7 units / person, Infrared configure the number of more than 200,000 units, according to industry experts estimate that each device needs to count 700 grams germanium, germanium need 140 tons.


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Tungsten market: Tungsten terminal needs no breakthrough, downstream tungsten spot transactions difficult, intense price competition, the range offer low or dropping tentative. Carbide products poor sales this year, and its price has been falling, suppress the rise in the price of tungsten powder to some extent. In addition, due to the current market APT inventory is relatively large, slow pace in sales, manufacturers slowed purchases of raw materials, tungsten concentrate turnover is also weak. Currently, the market turnover of 65% tungsten concentrate very little turnover of 50-60% tungsten concentrate prices being stable. Overall, the lack of confidence in the market, two weak sales.

W terminal needs no breakthrough, downstream tungsten spot transactions difficult, intense price competition, interval or tentative offer low dropping this week APT quote or full below 130,000.

Macro level, the first quarter GDP growth is expected at around 7%, the economy is still greater downward pressure; China and South Africa signed a 30 billion yuan bilateral currency swap agreements; Northeast to blow warm air policy.


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Tungsten market: With the publication of guidance prices, weak steady Scheelite tungsten business confidence weakened further, but by the cost of support, hold stocks and smelters very price conscious family are strong, especially traders wolframite very price waiting to see more. This week the city of tungsten tungsten prices are low, but the actual turnover is still deadlocked, many years after the resumption of production of tungsten smelter family has not received the order, a few large smelter started home less overall volume and orders are expected to recent ore price or temporarily weak stability maintenance.

Scheelite weak steady this week, paratungstate prices down. According to monitoring, week 65% wolframite mainstream price around 87,000 yuan / ton, the actual transaction price 85,000 yuan / ton. This week's grades for the APT-0 paratungstate offer about 132,000 yuan / ton, the actual transaction price 130,000 yuan / ton.

This week the city of tungsten tungsten prices are low, but the actual turnover is still deadlocked, many years after the resumption of production of tungsten smelter family has not received the order, a few large smelter started home the overall volume and orders are small. With the increase of wages, environmental protection and other costs, the cost of production of tungsten products are relatively high, then the market demand continues to slump.


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With the publication of guidance prices, tungsten business confidence weakened further, but by the cost of support, hold stocks and smelters very price conscious family are strong, especially very price wolframite traders waiting to see more, or is expected to near ore price temporarily weak stability maintenance.

Macro, today announced the March CPI, rose or two consecutive months at "a time"; Towards third time this year raised the price of oil: 93 gasoline or heavy on 6 yuan; 10 city land sales 153.7 billion in the first quarter down 45%.


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Tungsten market: With the increase of wages, environmental protection and other costs, the cost of production of tungsten products are relatively expensive, but then the market demand continues to slump, difficult to sell on price, smelters and traders profit family are very weak. The Association of tungsten APT, again guided powder weaker business confidence frustrated. This week the price of tungsten or have a small drop. For tungsten, iron manufacturers, the start is still to fully recover, so procurement is still in the doldrums; although the downstream steel prices have been warming trend, but the price of raw materials prices down severely. So ferro-tungsten prices continue to decline, the overall order-based production operations, reduce inventory risk.

With the increase of wages, environmental protection and other costs, the cost of production of tungsten products are relatively expensive, but then the market demand continues to slump, difficult to sell on price, smelters and traders profit family are very weak, and the Association of tungsten APT, powder guide price again weakening business confidence frustrated, tungsten prices this week or have a small drop.

Macro level, the State Department clearance fees, price reform, tax cuts "emergency" real economy; heavy economic data to be released tomorrow, March CPI rose by 1.4% expected; retail price of gasoline and diesel will welcome third time this year to rise.


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Ganzhou Tungsten Industry Association April tungsten market forecast price: wolframite 86,000 yuan / ton mark, APT13.3 yuan / ton, the particles 215 yuan / kg (Ganzhou APT processing business is not low fees at 12,000 yuan / ton).

The March for forecasting price in: wolframite 86,000 yuan / ton mark, APT13.5 yuan / ton, the particles 219 yuan / kg. Concentrate steady, APT and powder down.

Industry analysts believe that the tungsten concentrate prices steady guidance that reason, but also in the unexpected. Concentrate in the first quarter of the successive rise, making downstream tungsten iron manufacturers reduce procurement; coincides with the Chinese New Year holidays and steel maintenance, resulting in sluggish market demand; therefore most of the manufacturers to stop production and consumption of inventory based. So concentrate price gains difficult to continue, April steady. But for tungsten iron manufacturers, the start is still to fully recover, so procurement is still in the doldrums; although the downstream steel prices have been warming trend, but the price of raw materials prices down severely. So ferro-tungsten prices continue to decline, the overall order-based production operations, reduce inventory risk.


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