Last week, the Commerce Department reported in 2014 the first batch of rare earth export quotas , volume was essentially flat with the prior year . Rare litigation in the WTO official results coming out of the window period , the Commerce Department export quotas publicity the new year , leading the market for rare earths on efforts to predict the progress of the rectification and increased confusion factor. However, we believe that prices will not change direction . Rare strategic species and therefore the intensity does not change the direction of integration . Although it is a new round of policy window period , but due to the rare earth sector of speculation for many years , and is currently investing in a " not rabbits not spread eagle " state , and therefore did not react much positive expectations on price . On the whole , in the background does not change the direction of integration , either positive factors occur, are expected to push the share price , the rare earth sector continue to be optimistic .


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Vice president of the Chinese Rare Earth Society : Rare Earth Industry Development Group for the first strategy , focusing on developing new materials applications. China's rare earth industry is the existence of over-exploitation of resources , price variability, lack of high-end application development technology and equipment , REE applications imbalance , disorderly competition , export smuggling more serious issues such as ; solve these problems , the association believes will be formed in the international market for rare earths diversified industrial structure under the circumstances, the Group's strategy to expand the space , and new materials industry is the inevitable trend of future development of the industry .

Nanjing Rare applied research vice chairman : adjust policies to stimulate domestic demand . Nanjing Rare applied research vice chairman Mr. Wang Zhongshan , said China's rare earth industry, there is currently excessive administrative intervention , denied equal competition environment encountered problems , which led directly to low productivity sectors , some elements of high inventories contracted downstream demand, and other issues. Mr. Wang Zhongshan insists that the existing sluggish domestic demand , lack of external demand against the backdrop , it is imperative to play the market self-regulation mechanisms , release the quota management and purchasing and storage mechanisms , some varieties due to lower export tariffs as soon as possible , in the light rare earth export release while encouraging the application of rare earth has made a positive innovation, hoping to make the rare earth industry in the two years after the supply and demand pattern has been optimized to return to the normal price orbit. In addition , Mr. Wang Zhongshan think oxide, praseodymium , neodymium 300,000 yuan / ton, the price is more reasonable.

Steel Hospital Institute of Functional Materials : high performance sintered rare earth permanent magnet is the future direction of development of new energy vehicles require attention. Rare is widely used in the field of new materials, which accounted for the bulk of permanent magnetic materials , rare earth permanent magnet industry has gone through several rounds of trends, technological progress is mainly reflected in its ultra-fine powder to reduce the ratio of remanence significantly improved uniformity and consistency magnets improved regulation of the preparation of ultra- high-performance magnet organization industrialization , saving more than 20% of raw materials and so on. Current need to build a new multi-channel demands of different magnetic materials , including through the regulation of dual phase rare earth permanent magnet technology to produce corrosion-resistant materials, high temperature by adding various elements manufacturing rare earth permanent magnet materials , because high performance sintered rare earth permanent magnet is the future direction of development of new energy automotive needs attention.

Hangzhou Daming fluorescent material Chairman : Phosphor downstream demand grim , LED energy-saving lamps greater impact on the rare earth . China in 2011 produced 8,650 tons of rare earth trichromatic phosphor Rare Earth about 5 billion energy-saving lamps , accounted for more than 80 % of the world , but the 2012 output fell by 50 %, while in 2013 only downstream of the actual demand of 4,000 tons in 2014 - 2018 annual demand is only 1000-2000 tons. First, in 2011 primarily due to rare earth prices shot up 10 times , and later rapid decline , and end users can not afford the downstream end demand power drops . Chinese lighting industry suffered a serious setback , while LED quick access to high-end market , technology matured , the price dropped to an annual rate of 30% , the market began to accept the occupation is expected in 2013 LED general lighting 5% 2014 - 2015 will quickly enter the market.

Changchun Institute of Applied Chemistry: high costs and excess capacity constraints nickel-metal hydride hydrogen storage materials development , hydrogen fuel cell hydrogen storage alloy to seek a breakthrough. Rare earth hydrogen storage alloys research trends of high capacity and low self-discharge NiMH battery remaining costs are too high and the problem of overcapacity . NiMH battery anode material is still the main downstream rare earth hydrogen storage alloys. NiMH applications primarily for consumer electronics market products and hybrid (HEV) in two major areas , more than 90 % of the existing HEV battery market share is still a nickel -hydrogen battery , the top three were HEV manufacturers Toyota, Honda and modern , on behalf of a Toyota Prius. Lithium -ion batteries battery industry is facing competition , hydrogen fuel cell hydrogen storage alloy to seek a breakthrough.

Rare earth polishing materials industry experts : capacity expansion frenzy narrow application market suffered a sharp deterioration of the industry supply and demand . Currently demand for rare earth polishing powder corresponding to about 10,000 tons , far below the capacity of 60,000 tons . With glass cover while processing technology to improve and enhance the thinning process consumes substantial reduction of rare earth polishing powder , and accompanied by chemical thinning thinning gradually replace rare earth polishing in the field of production of high-end enterprise technology is difficult because the case involved , the rare earth polishing powder applications market is gradually narrowing , industry supply and demand pattern of deterioration .


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Ministry of Commerce Website December 13 announced the tungsten, antimony , silver export state trading enterprises , rare earths, indium, molybdenum, tin export companies list in 2014 and issued the first batch of export quotas. In addition to rare earths outside , issued in 2014 the first batch of export quota of 70% of the total annual quota . RE quota for light rare earths is 13,314 tons , 1,796 tons of heavy rare earths .

The Commerce Department said the first batch of 2014 export quotas for the main reference production enterprises , export volume , export value in 2011 to October 2013 were calculated . It is noteworthy that , in part because of its mining business or environmental problems , quotas Not released. Ministry of Commerce said it would be dealt with separately , depending on their rectification .


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According to Russian media reports, China 's WTO requires its not on the rare earth export quota system " ignored ." China announced the first half of the year 2014 the quota situation , then, will the international market supply 15,110 tons of rare earth materials. And ( 2013 ) in the second half compared to a decrease of 2.5% in quantity .

China controls 95% of the world's rare earth market . November , when , and its largest importer in - the U.S., EU , and Japan 's defeat in World Trade lawsuit . WTO to support these countries against China 's rare earth export restrictions complaint . WTO believes that the quota system violated the free trade regime.

This case has a sensational effect . In the history of the WTO , the first time a player wins three geopolitical monopoly lawsuit against the rare countries in the arbitration court. Everyone is waiting for China's counterclaim , but not limited to counterclaims. China has made to reduce the reverse quotas, quotas and all of a sudden decrease of 2.5 %. World metal market experts believe that this percentage is quite huge. This decision will lead to rare or scarce supply , prices rise.

In this way, China once again so that we understand , will continue to implement its own rules of conduct in this area. Asia-Pacific Research Center Director Sergei ? Luke Ning believes that China's move from their own strategy. He said: " China 's rare earth export restrictions in full compliance with the relevant government strategy to modernize the economy . This decision will force foreign companies to move to China's domestic high-tech production capacity . In addition, through this initiative , China can win a favorable position in the EU, U.S. and Japan on WTO negotiations on aspects of the complaint . It appears that China will conduct negotiations on the issue of its products into the U.S. and European markets . The use of rare earth export quota for the way China is trying in these negotiations Ringside ' terrain ' . Furthermore, Chinese companies use those rare because quotas can not enter the international market , can produce a more competitive high-tech equipment . Then, smoothly into the U.S., EU and Japan markets. "

China introduced new quota of rare earth , even to reduce its supply , it is not unexpected for the experts . Between the major competitors in this trade war or other platforms are periodically increase the number of revolutions . Moreover , the WTO from the essence of reality is there is no effect of leverage. Decisions made ​​by the agency , the most they can become a piece of paper on the table officials , Luke Ning think so.

He said: " Perhaps, the WTO will take some supplementary response measures . For example, you can implement the new tariffs on Chinese exports of equipment. But I think that , in this respect , the WTO may not be able to win anything. Such as the production of rare earth resources needed for electronic goods , almost all concentrated in China . These products accounted for 70-80 % of the world market. Europe can not refuse imports of computer and telephone from China . WTO does not take serious measures against China restrictive . You know, these measures will the company's interests to those engaged in this business a blow . China's export tariff measures utilized complementary , will the United States , European Union and Japan assembled in China these products company profits will cause harm. "

It is worth mentioning that Chinese competitors will continue to keep a close eye to take hold of all aspects of its strategy . Moreover, this pressure will be more severe and more coordinated. Exports of rare earths used to be , the future will be one of the major political and economic leverage China . Designer of China's reform Deng Xiaoping once said that the Middle East has oil , China has rare earths. Now, China 's opponents tried to let it lose this advantage. That is, the trade war will dusty field .


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