Recent interview with a foreign investment websites Jon Hykawy, he talked about some of the WTO and China's rare earth lawsuits and things about China's crackdown on illegal mining, provides some interesting insights, Jon Hykawy for Stormcrow Capital., President of the company, many years RE investment research and clean energy, Jon Hykawy holds a doctorate in physics. Interview Jon Hykawy mainly expressed in the following views:

First, China's crackdown on illegal rare earth mining can not completely eliminate the illicit production of rare earths

In an interview with Jon Hykawy said that although China plans to supply 40 percent of all combat illegal rare earth away, but the illegal exploitation of the South Mine basically impossible to completely eliminate in China, because the ionic rare earth mine in southern China, is highly fragmented, and in some small villages and hills heads are small workshop production, and it is easy to extract the mineral ions, which makes it even this small workshop after being hit is also very easy to re-start production, but most of this illegal rare earth mining by the local government to protect, so he thinks the one hand, are small workshop production, require little cost and the production of the mine is so expensive, so China can not completely belly absolutely illegal exploitation of the South 方南子 mine. Jon Hykawy said that these small workshop production of illegal rare earth, finally able to go abroad, usually through some legitimate business of the company, of course, the illegal export of rare earths are labeled a variety of labels, "alloy", through some complex procedures, while exports of these products company, to avoid restricted mandatory plans, he believes that China's recent fight against illegal mining may be of such a company may have a substantial impact.

Second, the quota is not gone, just to see it

Hykawy said: think WTO lawsuit against the Chinese rare earth quotas would be China's actual export policy impact is a "delusion" because China through the integration of a large group, have been attributed to the production of rare earths in the hands of a few large state-owned groups to China aluminum, for example, it is actually a microcosm of the entire business of a large group of rare earths, assuming you're a middle-level staff in aluminum, you can follow the instructions to do the top, imagine if you're a sales manager, you responsible for rare earth aluminum business, you got the call that can only export 2,000 tons of rare earth, and you have received an order of 4,000 tons of foreign customers, how would you do this time? I think you can only give you a few customers call and tell them, very sorry, because "production issues" this month, last month promised only export half the amount of rare earths. In fact, this will make China's rare earth exports more opaque and unstable, and at the same time, he felt this rare foreign manufacturers is an opportunity to seize this opportunity, but overseas users on the one hand very seriously stable rare earth products supply, on the one hand they want to buy Chinese rare earth prices. However, customers may eventually be persuaded to pay a higher price pole supply of materials to ensure the safety of the village.


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"In the illegal mining of private mines, privately separation, privately smelting, then product sales excluding tax black earth industry chain, the state repeatedly playing endless, with the collusion exists a relationship here," October 31, China Minerals and Chemicals importers and pan-Asian non-ferrous metals exchanges will be co-sponsored "China entrepreneur Summit strategic metal" gap, China Research Institute of Economic Research resource Economics of Land and Resources management Deputy Director Li Ruijun told the Economic Observer Online.

Since 2008 he worked at the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association vice president Wang Qin said at the meeting, the rare earth industry production order has yet to be standardized, after rectifying some time ago, and has achieved initial success, but the illegal exploitation, unplanned indicators production still exists, resulting in a substantial decline in the market price of rare earth, compression legitimate corporate profit margins, banning black chain is still very arduous task.

Data provided by Wang Qin, China's annual amount of the illegal exploitation of illegal production of rare earth mining and smelting separation products amounted to about 40,000 tons and 50,000 tons respectively, but this is only speculation, "the real amount is difficult to say."

Order Li Ruijun Sadly, our country with 23 percent of rare earth resources to bear the world's more than 90 percent of the market supply, in particular, as currently mined, our heavy rare earth and then mined for about 15 years it has come to no rare earth recoverable situation . And the heavy rare earth rich more than the light rare earth metal element, and a higher value than the light rare earth metal elements, so the price is about ten times the light rare earths.

Recently, the Ministry issued a notice eight ministries and conduct special operations against illegal activities of rare earth, the "hitting" action lasted six months, the time span than in previous years.

October 31, an import and export trading company, told the Economic Observer Online, although the country under heavy blow, many companies do not dare alien smuggling rare, but our company can still take 10 to 20 tons per day fee is 5 yuan per kilogram. Yesterday also take a number, is from Guangdong to Hong Kong and then transfer abroad.

Import and export trading company who said to the Economic Observer Online, we can go into the course, because in both places and customs "have ways", through inspection and customs of the country.

Economic Observer has learned that the integration of large rare earth chess game will soon reveal the answer, has now finalized the Baosteel Group, China Rare Earth Aluminum and Xiamen Tungsten three large groups, recently revealed that the Ministry of the remaining three Rare Earth Group will enter specific demonstration phase of the program . Six by the State Council approved the large group of rare earths, has not been announced for the three programs: China Minmetals, Rising colored and Ganzhou Rare Earth Group.

Li Ruijun analysis, WTO, China has lost the lawsuit, estimated China's rare earth export quota policy may be canceled next year, and in the export volume is no policy restrictions, but good is also accelerating the integration of large rare-earth group, which will contain the rare black but how to control black rare problem fundamentally is still pending and solve problems together.


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Vice president of the China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, China rare earth industry branch president, said recently in Beijing Wang Qin, rare earth market order remains to be further standardized running against black chain is still a very both tasks.

"This black chain in the end how much the amount, it is difficult to say," Wang Qin said when attending the China Entrepreneur Summit strategic metals.

Illegal mining, unplanned, ultra indicators of production still exists

Previously, data from the China Rare Earth Association, in 2014 China's rare earth production is 105,000 tons mandatory plan, only the domestic demand will exceed 150,000 tons. Although such quotas Show shortage is inevitable, but now the actual situation of oversupply in the market is still there, and these extra portion According to expert analysis, it is likely that come from illegal sources.

And black rare earth industry chain, but also the looming signs of collusion.

In the last case of illegal rare earth mining in Ganzhou City, Jiangxi Anyuan County, the local party secretary, in charge of industry Standing Committee, Vice Mayor and Public Security Bureau were investigated. MIIT raw material industries Division inspector had said Jia Yinsong, this case has fully exposed the collusion behind the phenomenon of black interests of the chain.

Wang Qin said that the current market order rare run remains to be further standardized, after the first period of consolidation yielded good results, but illegal mining, unplanned, ultra indicators of production still exists, resulting in a substantial decline in the market price of rare earths, squeezing the legitimate business profit margins, interference market order, crack down on black chain is still a very both tasks.

In order to integrate the rare earth industry, according to the State Department on the 12th document, the State Council has approved the establishment of six Rare Earth Group program, Baotou Steel Group, Xiamen Tungsten (600,549, stock it), the aluminum company and other three groups filed embodiment has received the Ministry of Industry. Meanwhile in the management of SMEs, this year the Ministry issued the 2014 elimination of backward industrial overcapacity in the list of companies. The government hopes to support large rare earth enterprises and small and medium enterprises to rationalize the management of rare earth production mechanism.

There are signs of a rare earth downstream

For this year's rare earth production situation, Wang Qin considered rebound phenomenon, in the first three quarters of the rare earth industry in general should say this is a smooth operator.

She said according to data from January to September this year, as mining and smelting of rare earth producers are basically arranged in accordance with the Land Department, the Ministry issued indicators of production, production remained stable trend, the main business income of 56.7 billion yuan, an increase of 4.38 %, a profit of 2.96 billion yuan, down 24.1%, increase in export volume drop less rare earth metals fell 30.8%, other rare earth export volume year on year growth.

Some of the rare earth deep-processing products, such as rare earth permanent magnet exports grew by 16.7% and imports rose 5 percent, import and export trade surplus fell 11.9 percent, with the rare-earth prices gradually fall, consumer demand downstream gradually warmer.

Currently, a good investor expectations purchasing and storage of rare earths and great interest. Just last weekend, headquartered in Kunming Pan-Asian exchanges in the domestic non-ferrous rare species listed first dysprosium and terbium oxide, terbium oxide value of 8.24 million and the value of 22,350,000 of dysprosium, a total of 3,000 million rare earth products, once listed for sale sold out within a short period to facilitate the declaration of 5 seconds and 24 seconds.

Wang Qin believes that the long term, the development of China's electronic information, aerospace, electric vehicles, energy-efficient lighting, new energy and other industries, will be driven by strong growth in demand for rare earths. According to the Association did predict that in 2020 the growth rate of China's annual demand for rare earth permanent magnet materials luminescent material catalytic materials will reach 9.5%, respectively, around 4.7% and 7%, all kinds of phosphors is expected to reach about 6,000 tons the amount of hydrogen storage materials demand will reach 80,000 tons of rare earth industry still have confidence, mainly downstream demand has signs of recovery.

Investment industry, the quality of the overall investment also improved. January to August this year, China's rare earth industry investment in fixed assets of 60.9 billion yuan, an increase of 17.2%, the new funds are used for the overall relocation, technology upgrades and environmental rectification.

Wang Qin also expected this year, all of the country's 10 kinds of nonferrous metals output growth is expected to be around 7%, investment growth is about to be dropped to around 5%.


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According to Korean media reports, Russia to help the DPRK to achieve the modernization of the railway network conditions, and North Korea reached an agreement on the mining of rare earth resources.

South Korea, "Central Daily News" Web site Oct. 30 citing Russian media sources said the Russian Far East Development Minister, said Alexander Galuška Russian companies will need to invest $ 25 billion to participate in the Korean railway network modernization project "Victory" project, "This contract period of 20 years, Russia will be in North Korea in exchange for the mining of mineral resources. "

Reported that Galuška minister's visit to Pyongyang on October 20 -24 days to participate in the project groundbreaking ceremony on October 21 - the "Azusa holes - Gangnam - Nampo railway station interval start building ceremony."

Russia's industry-academia complex "Mostow than the" push this project aims to help North Korea in the total length of 7000 km of railway network, the first 3200 km modernize the railway network, exchange, Mostow than in Korea mining of rare earth metals and mineral resources of titanium, tantalum, gold, coal and so on. Galuška minister said North Korea's rare earth metal buried about seven times that of China.

North Korea and Russia first began this month with rubles, and plans to introduce visa-free regime. Galuška Minister said (Russia's largest hydroelectric power station operators) Ruth Xideluo plans to promote the connection of the Russian Far East and North Korea, South Korea's large-scale inter-Korean Russian electricity network.
 

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