The Market Differences Increase With the Tungsten Season Approaching

Rare earth industry upstream dynamic: the lanthanum cerium-light rare earth prices decline. The first 8-9 weeks of 2013, cerium oxide, lanthanum oxide, cerium carbonate, lanthanum chloride, lanthanum, cerium metal prices were down by 6.38%, 6.38%, 8.33%, 15.38%, and 4%, respectively. Upstream producers shipping difficulties, there are a large number of store goods, compared to non-dominant and private mineral separation plants, there is pressure on the sales; cautious attitude among traders, the intention of the hoard goods declined, basic alone. 

Downstream of the rare earth industry dynamics: phosphor prices fell slightly.Trichromatic phosphor 2700K and 6500K prices fell by 4.85% and 1.18% respectively.The NdFeB market enterprises operating rate, the the orders more stable, and small and medium-sized enterprises operating rate at 3-5. Hydrogen storage alloy, rare earth polishing powder market is poor. The automotive, consumer electronics and other magnetics downstream industries have signs of recovery the expected the 3,4 months Magnets downstream demand has been warmer, warmer magnitude to be confirmed. 

Increase market differences. The bullish view market into the season, downstream operating rates improve, increasing the demand for rare earth, and with the two sessions, the earth as the focus on the protection of resources, policy stimulus Xu rebound; bearish view, rare earth market seriously for greater than demand, weak demand for downstream processing enterprises, the capacity is too large, macroeconomic downturn situation did not improve the global demand for rare earth, rare earth prices are still facing downward space; see steady view, although the rare earth market supply and demand serious balance, but the rare earth prices close to cost, most manufacturers said that the low price merchants would rather stop production nor shipping. We see the flat this month, the price of rare earth, rare earth prices to see more than two months. On the one hand, the majority of rare earth species prices have basically back to the beginning of 2011, that the initial position of this wave of rare earth price gains continue to be little room for further reduction. On the other hand, in March and April, the traditional peak season of the rare earth demand and prices have some support. 

Industry dynamics and company News: Ganzhou Rare Earth Group acquired Longnan Kai-liter 60% stake; Ganzhou, Jiangxi 7 joint establishment of Rare Earth Group; Ganzhou accelerate the formation of the pace of the Southern Rare Earth Group; introduction of the semiconductor lighting energy-saving industrial planning; vanadium and titanium in Sichuan by the letter of Commission steel and rare earth industry research; rare earth resources in Yunnan is expected to be 140,000 tons; U.S. Senate proposed funding Bokan Mountain rare earth project; Baotou Steel Rare Earth intends resumed in early March; Kinwa matters concerning the acquisition of rare earth assets continue to be suspended; the morning light rare earth backdoor hopeless S * ST Tianfa claims 40 million; Lynas Malaysia rare earth refinery production. 

Industry investment strategy: rare earth industry around integration + demand "mainline mining. We believe that the excavation from industry consolidation prospects and demand-side changes. First, provincial-level rare earth industry merger and reorganization to become the focus of attention of the rare earth market parties Sustainable concern. Second, the the postganglionic downstream market demand will improve, driven by the downturn has been a long time in the rare earth industry rebound, is to confirm whether the rare earth industry key success bottoms. Individual stocks, concern Xiamen Tungsten, Zhong Ke San Huan, * ST Guanlv.

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