Miners Ready to Take Punt on Rare Earths

Rare earth elements, as every commodities nerd knows, are in fact not very rare at all. Some, such as cerium and lanthanum, are among the more abundant elements in the earth's crust.

But it is unusual to find the 17 elements that are classified as rare earths in sufficient quantities for economic extraction.

In 2011, however, concerns over the scarcity of these elements -- which are now used in everything from mobile phones and lightbulbs to weapons systems -- sent prices skyrocketing.

"There was a bubble in 2011, after demand for rare earths had rebounded from the financial crisis and the Chinese cut export quotas, reducing supply," explains Carolyn Dennis, analyst at Dundee Securities. "Fears of a shortage caused stockpiling, driving prices to unsustainable levels."

Since then they have plunged, with prices for some rare earths falling as much as 90 per cent in international markets. This year alone, prices for the most important elements have fallen between 50 and 70 per cent, according to Industrial Minerals, a specialist publication that monitors rare earths trading.

Nevertheless, a number of mining companies are still hoping to capitalise on the strategic importance of these rare raw materials.

China currently accounts for more than 90 per cent of global supply -- partly because their production can be a messy and environmentally problematic business -- but some miners are trying to develop rare earths projects to meet demand for production outside China, particularly from countries such as Japan and Korea.

It has not been an easy 12 months for the sector's leading companies, though.

Molycorp and Lynas -- the most advanced in terms of developing commercially producing mines -- have had a torrid year.

Molycorp's share price has fallen nearly 60 per cent this year and, earlier this month, its chief executive resigned, following a range of operational and financial difficulties.

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Soft Demand in Europium Oxide Market Prompts Prices Slip

 

Europium oxide 99.99% market remains stagnant with the majority of end users practicing increasingly conservative purchasing strategies. Prevailing offers of the material decrease slightly to RMB6,000-6,300/kg (USD961-1,009/kg), down by around 4% compared with RMB6,300-6,500/kg (USD1,009-1,041/kg) late last week.

A source from a separation plant in South China reported to Asian Metal that europium oxide 99.99% demand shows no signs of rebounding with mainstream offers slipping slightly to MB6,000-6,300/kg (USD961-1,009/kg) at present. “The combination of a weak downstream industry with the belief prices may still have room to fall have discouraged end users from moving to procure europium oxide 99.99% in bulk,” said the source. “We are under great pressure to complete deals.”

“I heard that some traders are willing to sell the material at prices lower than RMB6,000/kg (USD961/kg) for the time being,” added the source, revealing that the plant produces around 4 tons of europium oxide 99.99% per month.

A source from another separation plant in South China confirmed that mainstream offers of europium oxide 99.99% go down to RMB6,000-6,300/kg (USD961-1,009/kg), with a slight decrease of around 4% compared with RMB6,300-6,500/kg (USD1,009-1,041/kg) late last week. “Most consumers buy europium oxide 99.99% from hand to mouth,” said the source. “We are pessimistic about the market in the reminder of this year.”

"The last small deal was concluded at RMB6,000/kg (USD961/kg) a few days ago," added the source, revealing that the plant used to produce around 3 tons of europium oxide 99.99% per month.

Soft Demand in High Purity Lanthanum Oxide Market

As optical glasses industry keeps flat, high purity lanthanum oxide 99.999% demand remains soft and the prices drop a bit to RMB95,000-100,000/t (USD15,210-16,010/t) at present.


A source from a separation plant in South China disclosed that lanthanum oxide 99.999% market suffers from slow buying activities due to wait-and-see attitudes of buyers. The plant quotes RMB100,000/t (USD16,010/t) for the material at the moment, down by around RMB2,000/kg (USD320/t) compared with that of last week. “Lanthanum oxide 99.999% inquiries are few and buyers are not interested in rebuilding stocks,” said the source.

The plant produces around 30 tons of lanthanum oxide 99.999% per month and hasn’t concluded transactions so far this week. The source said that lanthanum oxide 99.999% prices will fall slightly in the coming weeks.

A source from a optical glasses producer in South China also noted that they have no plan to rebuild lanthanum oxide 99.999% inventories for the time being due to soft demand from end users. “Optical glasses market is silent, which leads us to be in no hurry to buy rare earth raw material,” said the source. “We can procure lanthanum oxide 99.999% at prices a bit lower than RMB95,000/t (USD15,210/t), however, we prefer to watch the market for a while.”

According to the source, the plant used to produce 20-30 tons of lanthanum oxide 99.999% per month and it has reduced production due to weak demand. 

Yttrium Oxide Market Sees Few Transactions

 

Lacking demand from end users, yttrium oxide 99.999% suppliers sees few transactions further. 


A source from a separation plant in South China expressed that yttrium oxide 99.999% demand keeps slack in both domestic and export markets. “yttrium oxide price goes to RMB120,000/t (USD19,212/t) and USD30/kg FOB China respectively for domestic and overseas buyers now, down a bit compared with those of last week,” said the source. 

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Feeble Activities in Terbium Oxide Market

 

Terbium oxide 99.99% market sees stagnant purchasing activities as end users from phosphor powder industry delay purchasing further. Meanwhile, most suppliers hold wait-and-see attitudes towards the market in the near term.

A source from a separation plant in South China shared that terbium oxide 99.99% inquiries keep rare in the terbium oxide spot market. “We quote Terbium oxide at RMB4,500/kg (USD722/kg) at present, unchanged from that of last week,” said the source. “We think terbium oxide 99.99% market is hard to pick up this year.”

“I heard that some suppliers are willing to sell the material at RMB4,300/kg (USD690/kg) for the time being,” added the source, revealing that the plant produces around 2 tons of terbium oxide 99.99% per month.

A source from another separation plant in South China also noted that most plants don’t want to reduce terbium oxide 99.99% prices, which could be lower than RMB4,500/kg (USD722/kg) at the moment. “Phosphor powder industry fails to revive, which leads transactions to remain rare in the Terbium oxide spot market,” said the source. “However, as we stopped the production activities, we prefer to watch the market further.”

“I concluded a small deal at RMB4,500/kg (USD722/kg) with a regular client a few days ago,” added the source, revealing that the plant produces around 3 tons of terbium oxide 99.99% per month. 

Quiet Neodymium Oxide Price is Too Weak to Maintain

 

Plagued by a grim economic outlook and weakened demand, neodymium oxide market continues to see rare deals and softening prices.

A source from a separation plant in South China claimed that slow demand continues to generate downwards pressure on neodymium oxide price. “We make an offer of RMB390,000/t (USD62,595/t) for the material now, down slightly compared with that of last week,” said the source. “Consumers still delay purchasing so the inquiries keep rare in the neodymium oxide spot market.”

The plant used to produce 30 tons of neodymium oxide per month. According to the source, neodymium oxide suppliers  failed to conclude deals last week.

A source from a separation plant in South China also expressed that neodymium oxide market shows no signs of rebounding with mainstream offers hovering at RMB380,000-400,000/t (USD60,990-64,200/t) at present. “Consumers have no intention to rebuild neodymium oxide stocks, which leads us to be under pressure to conclude deals,” said the source. “What’s worse, I heard that some traders even quote RMB350,000/t (USD56,175/t) for neodymium oxide price now in order to win orders”.

“The last small deal was concluded at RMB380,000/t(USD60,990/t) with a regular client last week,” added the source, revealing that the plant produces around 40 tons of neodymium oxide per month.

Rare Deals in Praseodymium Oxide Market

 

Praseodymium oxide market keeps quiet with mainstream Praseodymium oxide price staying relatively stable at RMB390,000-420,000/t (USD62,595-67,410/t) now, without much change compared with those of last week.

A source from a separation plant in South China disclosed that praseodymium oxide market continues to see slow activities as consumers delay purchasing further. The mainstream praseodymium oxide price are in a range of RMB390,000-420,000/t (USD62,595-67,410/t) now, with little change compared with those of last week. “Consumers still hold wait-and-see attitudes towards the market and they are cautious in placing orders in bulk,” said the source. “As a result, rare deals are concluded in the Praseodymium oxide spot market.”

According to the source, the plant used to produce around 4 tons of praseodymium oxide per month and they failed to conclude deals last week.

A source from another separation plant in South China also confirmed that prevailing offers of praseodymium oxide hover at RMB390,000-420,000/t (USD62,595-67,410/t), without much change compared with those of last week. “A grim economy and soft demand from downstream industry encourage consumers to adopt hand-to-mouth purchasing strategies,” said the source. “We just hold stocks to watch the market further because we prefer to wait for the rebounding of praseodymium oxide demand as the stocks are depleted in the near term.”

"The last small deal was concluded at RMB400,000/t (USD64,200/t) with a regular client last week,” added the source, and revealed that the plant used to produce around 5 tons of praseodymium oxide per month.

Few Deals and Slack Demand in Dysprosium Oxide Market

Similar with that of last week, dysprosium oxide market suffers from few deals and slack demand further. Insiders hold pessimistic attitudes towards the dysprosium oxide market in the remainder of this year.

A source from a separation plant in South China expressed that dysprosium oxide demand keeps weak with few buyers who are interested in rebuilding stocks. 

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