Announced last week the world's major economies, June PMI final value overall better than expected, boosted metal prices rebounded; Friday U.S. non-farm payrolls data released in June sharply than expected, the market ahead of the Fed to reduce the scale of warming concerns stimulate basic metals fell across the board, swallowed week's gains.

LME3 month last week, copper prices rose 0.6%, Al / Pb / Zn / Ni / Sn prices fell 0.3% / 1.0% / 0.8% / 3.0% / 4.2%. Last week, the international spot gold closed at $ 1,223.2 / oz, the week down 0.9% last week, major gold ETF holdings fell 7.51 tons. Small metals: yttrium and rare earth carbonate mineral rich Eu ore prices unchanged. Downstream rare earth oxides: praseodymium / neodymium oxide, praseodymium oxide / dysprosium / terbium oxide / europium oxide / metal praseodymium neodymium prices rose by 5.6% / 1.9% / 9.7% / 11.3% / 1.4% / 1.3%. We track the rest of the small metal, zircon sand / sponge titanium / titanium ore / antimony / electrolytic cobalt / magnesium / manganese / molybdenum / vanadium pentoxide prices fell by 1.2% / 4.5% / 3.0% / 3.2% / 1.9% / 1.3% / 1.6% / 0.7% / 5.7% germanium metal prices rose 0.8%, the rest to keep prices unchanged.

RE: RE upstream of the recent consolidation, discontinued, some rare earth prices rebound. Baotou Steel Rare Earth dilute election announcement last week plant shutdown, supply and consumption of inventory to promote the return of intentions clear, rare earth prices continue to rise. However, because of the heavy volume of overseas rare earth downstream demand instability, high inventory three factors, is expected to rebound in the second rare earth prices is difficult to have a big increase, is expected to less than 25%. NdFeB: Last week Sintered NdFeB N35 rough prices at 137 yuan / kg, NdFeB industry is currently off-season, the market trading downturn, no signs of improvement in the short term. Tungsten: Last week the price of tungsten concentrates the footsteps stopped rising continuously maintain high stage 154,000 yuan / ton. Last week, Minmetals, tungsten Tungsten Market Association has issued guidance, CMN July wolframite 65% offer for 155,000 yuan / standard tons, scheelite 65% offer for 154,000 yuan / standard tons, and June offer the same. ITIA July wolframite, APT and guided tungsten powder particles were 155,000 yuan / standard tons, 230,000 yuan / ton, 350 yuan / kg. Were up 20,000 yuan / standard tons, 23,000 yuan / S ton, 30 yuan / kg. Germanium: Last week, a record high of 99.99% germanium continue to 126,000 yuan / ton, based on the industry's major companies control production, to promote recognition of germanium price value return, we expect the price will continue germanium hit a new high. Zirconium: The domestic market is still weak steady state based, although outlook zircon sand prices upward potential, but considering the sluggish downstream demand is still weak, zirconium products no small upward price pressure. Lithium: Domestic 99.5% last week remained at 43.0 yuan lithium carbonate / kg, we are optimistic about the logic of the lithium industry is still the salt lake, mining lithium capacity release under less than expected prices.

Last week, the nonferrous metals industry index (SWS) weekly gain of 4.01%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index 2.82 percent in the SW 23 an industry index rose ranking # 8. Three colored stocks rose last week were Minmetals Rare Earth / Rising colored / Luo zinc power, gains were 21.17% / 19.39% / 18.86%. Last week, stocks were down three colored Shandong Gold / Fine Arts shares / * ST Zhuzhou Smelter, decreases of 26.06% / 4.99% / 3.08%. Tesla Motors last week, U.S. stocks closed at $ 120.09, the week up 11.9 percent, a new record.

View: colored plates fell in June for a month after the end of a rebound last week, in which the rare earths and lithium resources, led by small metal species or front, as rare corporate performance fell significantly, the lack of long-term support price, we believe that the Rare earth prices second only short-term trading opportunities. Still maintain medium-term strategy report views, magnetics and lithium resource sector but also have long-term investment value.

Most magnetic performance of the company in 2013 began to positive or slightly lower year on year, a clear path to future growth, mainstream companies have been valued at 20 times; lithium resources sector in the upstream supply orderly, steady downstream demand growth scenario, with growth to digest the valuation, the proposed focus of these two dominant sector companies, such as Zhong Ke San Huan (unrated), Ningbo Yunsheng (unrated), Tianqi Lithium Industries (unrated), Jiang motor (unrated). In addition, in the dawn of the mid-year report, proposes a focus on the higher part of the performance increase certainty varieties, such as Hailiang shares (holdings), Liyuan Aluminum (overweight), Yunnan germanium industry (buying), East zirconium industry ( holdings) and so on.

Risk Warning: Rare earth prices continue to fall sharply; downstream recovery than expected.


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Rare earth market praseodymium neodymium, dysprosium, europium, terbium oxide prices firm, erbium oxide rose slightly, up waste magnetic stop! According to Ganzhou manufacturers said today relatively stable foreign quote, praseodymium neodymium, dysprosium oxide, dysprosium iron and gadolinium iron price no significant price increases. Currently difficult to purchase to praseodymium, neodymium oxide, gadolinium. It is understood that at present the market with a ticket offer neodymium praseodymium oxide, 31 yuan / ton, but this price is not traded temporary situation. The understanding with other people in the industry, neodymium oxide, praseodymium fare currently with 290,000 yuan / ton price is reasonable. With no ticket price 245,000 yuan / ton, unchanged from yesterday.

Today, dysprosium oxide with votes 1.6 million yuan / ton, this week, since the prices firm, the current price over the previous weekend, rose 10 yuan / ton or so. With no ticket price 1.35 million yuan / ton increase over the previous weekend, 50,000 yuan / ton.

Europium, terbium market, Ganzhou insiders indicate that although the transaction deserted, but the price is indeed remain strong, the current fare of europium oxide with 400-420 yuan / ton, terbium oxide 3.3 million yuan / ton. Affected by clearance operations, europium, terbium oxide price outlook is still likely to rise, but demand is limited, demand procurement procurement law, turnover is difficult to have a big change, investors still need to wait and see.

Erbium oxide market prices, suppliers have indicated with fares 24-25 yuan / ton, with no votes 215,000 yuan / ton. June Final erbium oxide was briefly raised to 23-24 yuan / ton price, supreme weekly prices again, down to 21, 22 yuan / ton or so, since the price is up there.

Magnetic scrap market, scrap magnetic prices continue to rise today, the current mainstream market price recovery short of 82-84 yuan / kg, long 84-88 yuan / kg, tiles 96-98 yuan / kg, the market is bullish mentality prevailing , the latter is still lifted possible. Waste Electrical market, some recyclers bullish outlook very price receipt, but the market is still not much turnover. Currently brushless motor scrap recycling highest price at 77 yuan / month, brush 117-127 yuan / month, the mainstream recovery price 75,76 yuan / month, brush 115-125 or 116-126 yuan / month.


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July 11: The current rare earth prices remained slightly upward pattern, the majority of upstream manufacturers bullish outlook due to consolidation is expected to temporarily offer strong downstream demand is not significant turn for the better because let us wait.

Tax price of lanthanum oxide mainstream manufacturers 26,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Cerium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 27,000-28,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 385,000-395,000 yuan / ton.

Neodymium oxide 255,000-265,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 285,000-295,000 yuan / ton.

Praseodymium Neodymium mainstream manufacturers tax price 355,000-365,000 yuan / ton.

Europium oxide phosphor grade mainstream manufacturers tax price 3,700-3,900 yuan / kg.

Terbium oxide phosphor grade mainstream manufacturers tax price 3,200-3,400 yuan / kg.

Dysprosium oxide mainstream manufacturers tax price 150-155 yuan / ton.

Dysprosium iron mainstream manufacturers tax price 150-155 yuan / ton.


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Insured by the cuts and the government to combat illegal rare earth mining and other positive boost yesterday, the concept of rare earth sector led the two cities, and ultimately the overall increase of more than 7%. Insiders pointed out that rare earth prices are expected to continue to pick up in the near future, the related stocks have the opportunity to continue to be strong.

Prices push stocks higher

Yesterday, rare earth permanent magnet concept stocks "blowout." Kinwa, Xiamen Tungsten, Baotou Steel Rare Earth, Minmetals Development, the color of shares and other 17 stocks daily limit. Insiders said that the concept of rare earth permanent magnet stocks higher, from this year, the Ministry of Industry and other relevant departments to integrate the entire industry, while the government on the rare earth industry, ongoing chaos strikes, which gradually stabilized the decline in rare earth prices.

According to market prices, as of now, the price of dysprosium oxide is 157 yuan / ton, the lowest point from early June rebounded by more than 30%. Praseodymium neodymium price is 28 yuan / ton, compared with the lowest point in mid-June rebounded 11%. Insiders said rare earth prices rose rapidly, which is extremely rare in recent years.

In fact, by the economic slowdown and other factors, the past two years, shrinking market demand of rare earth, rare earth permanent magnet materials industry boom also stumbled. The class of rare earth permanent magnet on the secondary market can be described as tragic stocks fell. Statistics show that half of this year, stocks fell overall in the state in which the Baotou Steel Rare Earth, Xiamen Tungsten, Rising Nonferrous other ten company's share price fell more than 20%.

"Rare earth stocks already in the oversold condition, and the industry is facing short-term positive factors, which prompted Recently strength in rare earth stocks." Hualong Securities Investment Consulting Niu Yang expressed.

The short term is expected to continue to be strong

Nearly a month rare earth permanent magnet material prices rebounded significantly, and ultimately stimulate market investment enthusiasm. Rare earth stocks continued to rise this week, Minmetals Rare recently rose more than 30%. In product prices rose 30 percent, up more than 15% of the sector in the context of the rare earth sector investment opportunities are also able to continue?

Haitong Securities analyst Shi Yi in the nonferrous metals industry research report pointed out, recalling the end of 2012 rare earth stocks rally, then shut down the central enterprises to stimulate and protect the price of neodymium oxide, praseodymium prices, sector rose more than 40%, round up to the South of rare earth prices the fuse for the heavy rare earth species stimulate more obvious sense, the whole plate is still up space.

CICC latest research report also pointed out that, to benefit from the government to combat illegal mining and reduce the supply of rare earths expected, rare earth prices are expected to continue to pick up in the near future, supporting rare earth stocks such as China Minmetals Rare Earth, Rising colored, Baotou Steel Rare Earth's share price performance.

Focus on species dynamics: RE: RE upstream of the recent consolidation, discontinued, some rare earth prices rebound. Baotou Steel Rare Earth dilute election announcement last week plant shutdown, supply and consumption of inventory to promote the return of intentions clear, rare earth prices continue to rise. However, because of the heavy volume of overseas rare earth downstream demand instability, high inventory three factors, is expected to rebound in the second rare earth prices is difficult to have a big increase, is expected to less than 25%. NdFeB: Last week Sintered NdFeB N35 rough prices at 137 yuan / kg, NdFeB industry is currently off-season, the market trading downturn, no signs of improvement in the short term. Tungsten: Last week the price of tungsten concentrates the footsteps stopped rising continuously maintain high stage 154,000 yuan / ton. Last week, Minmetals, tungsten Tungsten Market Association has issued guidance, CMN July wolframite 65% offer for 155,000 yuan / standard tons, scheelite 65% offer for 154,000 yuan / standard tons, and June offer the same. ITIA July wolframite, APT and guided tungsten powder particles were 155,000 yuan / standard tons, 230,000 yuan / ton, 350 yuan / kg. Were up 20,000 yuan / standard tons, 23,000 yuan / S ton, 30 yuan / kg. Germanium: Last week, a record high of 99.99% germanium continue to 126,000 yuan / ton, based on the industry's major companies control production, to promote recognition of germanium price value return, we expect the price will continue germanium hit a new high. Zirconium: The domestic market is still weak steady state based, although outlook zircon sand prices upward potential, but considering the sluggish downstream demand is still weak, zirconium products no small upward price pressure. Lithium: Domestic 99.5% last week remained at 43.0 yuan lithium carbonate / kg, we are optimistic about the logic of the lithium industry is still the salt lake, mining lithium capacity release under less than expected prices.

Colored plates fell in June for a month after the end of a rebound last week, in which the rare earths and lithium resources, led by small metal species or front, as rare corporate performance fell significantly, the lack of long-term support price, we believe that this earth prices provide only short-term trading opportunities. Still maintain medium-term strategy report views, magnetics and lithium resource sector but also have long-term investment value. Medium and long term, long way to go to combat rare black industry chain, industry trends still need to observe the policy coherence and enforcement; And given the global economic slowdown led to rare earth permanent magnet materials, sluggish demand, coupled with the increasingly rare study of alternative products mature, investors need to be cautious attention.


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Yesterday earth plate comeback, sector stocks a large area limit. The Shenzhen Stock Exchange trading public information display, three rings, the color of shares two leading stocks are attracting institutional money involved. Studies have authority to judge, downstream firms can withstand earth prices due to the cost pressures, the rare earth sector as a whole is still short-term upside.
    
Charts show, three rings, the color of shares yesterday attracted an institutional approach each accumulation. Among them, three rings in the largest buy seats will come from agencies, institutions bought a net amount of 43.73 million yuan, accounting for the stock traded yesterday, the amount of 6.6%; buy seats in the largest shares of the same color from the body, which net Bid amount of 36.19 million yuan, accounting for 8.5% of the turnover of the day.
    
As one of the traditional cyclical sector, rare earth stocks over a period of time with other cyclical stocks experienced a similar depth adjustment, overwhelmed by the collective strength and access to institutional funding boost, analysts believe that the reason is definitely not oversold bounce so simple.
    
In fact, recent international rare earth prices continued to rise, is the most important sector to attract capital inflows reason.
    
Nearly a month of dysprosium oxide prices bounced back, and ultimately stimulate market investment enthusiasm. In fact, last week, rare earth stocks rose across the board, is already in the sector rose two percent or so in the context of the rare earth sector investment opportunities is also able to continue to become the market focus.
    
Haitong Securities analyst Shi Yi that, first, dysprosium oxide prices are still up space, and downstream firms can withstand the resulting cost pressures. Rare earth prices fell sharply in the first half, the upstream ore prices have been in the end; if refined products prices, but has not yet created a tolerable minimum upstream profit margins, the supply side will not increase. Currently yttrium europium-rich ore prices still fluctuate, so metal products rose space still exists.
    
Secondly, from the impact on stock prices see, mutatis mutandis, in December 2012 the incentive for rare earth stocks rebound, the current round of price increases is rare in the South fuse for heavy rare earth species stimulus significance becomes more apparent. In this perspective, the overall sector still has upside.
    
Institutional funds sought for rare earth stocks, in fact, from last week has begun. Billboard data show that the color of shares soared last Thursday, is mainly composed of two agencies to promote, on the total amount of institutional buying 42.73 million yuan, accounting for the stock that day turnover of 13%. From this point of view, institutional funds to promote a certain continuity, but also for the sector provides the basis for the continuation of the market.


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Japan and India will be held this fall co-production of rare earth metals. Japanese trading company Toyota Tsusho India nuclear Hall 100% subsidiary of Indian metals company will start production later this year a comprehensive project rare earth metals, Indian companies from uranium and thorium ore extraction intermediate material is then supplied to Toyota Tsusho, Toyota produced by refining trade for electric cars and hybrids of neodymium and other products, first exports to Japan, exports amounted to 4,000 tons, equivalent to the annual demand in Japan for 20% of rare earths.

Japan and India in December 2009 had signed an agreement to jointly develop rare earth mines. However, due to the export price issue negotiations ran aground. On the other hand, since September 2010, the Japanese government and corporate commitment to rare earth "delinking China", and actively acquire Vietnam, Kazakhstan and other places of mineral exploitation rights to make procurement to diversify, but the pass with India cooperation will significantly reduce dependence on Chinese rare earth market. In addition, in recent years in Australia and the United States have been mined rare earth mine, prompting the Indian government decided to resume cooperation with Japan project involved early rare earth market, China Electric Power News Network.


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Yesterday, a strong rebound in the broader market, led by outstanding performance rare earth sector. In fact, since last week, the rare earth sector performance are eye-catching. Underlying logic is that since June 20 since the downturn this year, rare earth prices rose for three consecutive weeks.

However, the rare earth metal analyst Rui Tao Gao Xin believes that although the rare earth industry has been warmer, but the long-term perspective, the rare earth downstream application markets Qicheng only operating rate, indicating that demand is still relatively weak, business orders generally insufficient, and thus rare earth prices growth is still relatively fragile. Survey shows that for the afternoon neodymium praseodymium oxide can continue to rise, the industry is generally a lack of confidence. "Not confirmed that this is bottoming out."

As for the light rare earth enterprises announced the shutdown of half the Baotou Rare Earth impact on the industry, the industry said, "rare earth stocks more longer sufficient supply market."

Statistics show that on July 10, on behalf of varieties of light rare earth neodymium praseodymium oxide price of about 280,000 yuan, compared with the price of 250,000 before starting up 12%; heavy rare earth dysprosium 1.5 million yuan on behalf of varieties / ton, compared with the price rise before the start 30%. This is the year the largest increase in total rare earth prices once.

Rare downstream products, the largest manufacturer of rare earth magnetic material NdFeB also slightly improved offer. Currently, NdFeB N40 box blank mainstream market in 138-143 yuan / kg, up slightly from the previous month.

Gao Yan believes that the Ministry and other places in the South Ganzhou Rare Earth launched to combat illegal mining and smelting operations, resulting in a large number of illegal vendors discontinued rare earth prices is the second most important reason for the strong rise. Another reason is that the downstream demand warming. It is reported that magnetic operating margin continued to pick up three percent last year to the current level of Qi Cheng.

In addition, the Baotou Steel Rare Earth announced last week that starting from July 1 will be selected under the dilute plant shutdown for six months, but also to stimulate the market speculation rare earth prices. GF Securities believes that the move will help RE prices stabilized stabilized.


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Now, with the production and sale of rare earth imbalance similar domestic products in an increasingly competitive, which is why the user's attention to the point of beginning inexpensive rare earth products from the overall value of the transfer. In this trend, rare earth production enterprises should grasp the sense of the current crisis more "machine" will, as soon as possible to guide rare earth products to high-end extension, and continuously improve the products of high added value.

To Chinese researchers developed a new type of LED light rare earth materials, for example. Changchun Institute Co., Ltd. and Sichuan Sony source collaboration in 2006 new AC LED lighting technology research and development, after six years of unremitting exploration and development, has developed a new type of LED light rare earth materials, recently organized by the Chinese Academy of results identification.

It is reported that the product effective solution has not been possible to break the international exchange of LED lighting problems, making China the world's only master the technique. LED lighting is the second incandescent, fluorescent lighting after another revolution, is recognized as the world's most promising high-efficiency lighting industries.

In fact, truly able to create sustainable wealth of rare earth industry is a high value-added, high-tech rare earth new materials processing field, which has become the rare earth industry consensus. Rare in improving the process of value-added products, improve the level of rare earth high-tech is very important. It is definitely not a marketing tool, not just technology development, but an important rare earth products to high-end extension.

This year, the rare-earth prices experienced a boom and slump crazy. Currently the rare earth market traded flat, waiting to see atmosphere. Although China's rare earth resources stood in the top, but did not obtain rare earth pricing. But also because of policy support is not enough, disordered mining and smelting, lead smelting overcapacity, waste of resources, making Chinese enterprises can only earn a profit of low value-added products.

Ministry of Industry and the relevant responsible person said many times, China has been focused on improving the rare earth raw materials for manufacturing capacity, but there has long been the rare earth industry lags behind the high-end application development, resource utilization is not high, the application of the low level of industrial scale and other issues, countries will strengthen their support.

In a crisis, when the rare earth industry, improve Rare high added value is a priority. Changchun Institute and Sichuan Sony Corporation, in the more difficult times to invest more human and material resources of rare earth research and development of high value-added products, this approach is worth promoting. We must be more research and development, produce more high value-added rare earth products, compete for the international market initiative.

In the past, we only produce rare earth raw materials, followed by Japan, South Korea, including foreign companies subcontract processing, then the products sold back to China. Now that we have this technology, you can deep processing of rare earth, rare earth raw materials without having to sell, so that foreign companies derive huge profits.


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Recently, Jiangxi Ganzhou Rare Earth private mining on a comprehensive attack, began to raise the offer rare, rare earth related stocks Sheng and resources, such as rare earth Thursday Minmetals limit again. Ganzhou Rare Earth Industry Association said on Thursday against rare earth mine may affect the private supply, but prices rose just short performance.

He also said that the fight against private mining market may affect the supply of rare earths late, there are some mines stopped, the current rare earth prices have some impact, "but is short performance, the latter not optimistic about the rare earth market."

An Ganzhou Rare Earth processing enterprises responsible person said, to combat the current rare earth rare earth ore prices private have a certain influence, but the market oversupply and weak demand, rare earth prices continue upward trend difficult.

Reporters call the number Jiangxi Ganzhou Rare Earth processing enterprises, have expressed against rare earth mine on the processing of private enterprises have little effect. The one rare earth enterprises responsible person, about 50% of local rare earth processing enterprises in a temporary shutdown state.

From July 10 onwards, Ganzhou County Forestry Bureau to carry out a full four months of rare earth mining order Hillwood campaign, the focus of regulation, including a comprehensive inventory of the illegal occupation of forest land remediation exploitation of rare earth criminal acts, as well as the illegal exploitation of rare earth actions or lease forest use rights violations.


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Cabbage price of rare earth rare earth industry business performance to "uncover his head dirt face." Positive sea Magnets notice of interim results, the company expects January to June net profit of 18.84 million yuan? 37.69 million yuan, representing a decrease of 60% -80%. Positive sea Magnets, said rare earth raw material prices led to the company selling prices come down, resulting in sales and earnings over the same period declined.

Or rare earth industry will usher in "energized." The last week of June 2013 rare earth prices bottoming out trend heavy rare earth metal dysprosium represents 12.7% weekly gain on behalf of praseodymium neodymium LREE weekly gain of about 10%.

Minsheng Securities, said that based on historical statistics are expected to rebound will continue for about 2 months. The rare-earth prices rebounded mainly due to the recovery of the downstream industry is expected major downstream rare earth permanent magnet of the economic recovery will continue at least until the fourth quarter of 2013. Given the fourth quarter is generally the automotive and electronics shopping season, the economy is expected to rebound in rare earth permanent magnet can be extended to the entire second half of 2013.

Ministry of Industry recently issued the "new materials industry standardization three-year action plan," the notice, proposed in 2015, completed 200 focus amend standards, project and launch 300 new material standards, and carry out 50 key standard pre-study , for covering the "second five" plan proposed 400 key new material products.

"Plan" is mentioned, new materials made ​​substantial progress in international standardization work presented 20 proposals for new materials to international standards, promoting a number of international standards and the development of the project, in the rare earth new materials, precious materials and other fields to achieve a major breakthrough.

In the published 400 new materials industry standard project focus, direct and relevant material, including rare earth permanent magnet, rare earth functional materials 25, 21 Rare Metal Materials, a semiconductor material 15, totaling 61.

SW researcher said, is the sea of high performance NdFeB Magnets for a rising upstart, target price 24.3 yuan, from the current stock price is still not a small space to BUY rating.

July 10 is the sea of ​​magnetic closing 17.68 yuan, up 10.02 percent; rare earth permanent magnet plate includes Kinwa, Baotou Steel Rare Earth, China Minmetals Rare Earth and other 17 stocks daily limit, rare earth permanent magnet sector rose 7.51 percent, ranking cities all sections rose in the first.


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